| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.6% | 57% | -4.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| logistic | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Zdenek Kolar | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1582 | 1491 |
| Surface Elo | 1582 | 1491 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Federico Bondioli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 1 | Zdenek Kolar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 19 Oct 06:15 |