| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.5% | 81% | -16.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 23.6% | 76.4% |
| logistic | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Tim Handel | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1419 | 1476 |
| Surface Elo | 1419 | 1476 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Giraldi, C | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jan | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Martin Borisiouk | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Govind Nanda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Sergi Fita Juan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Talan Lopatic, Luka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Tim Handel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Tim Handel | 0 - 2 | Pedro Vives Marcos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 01 Oct 06:15 |