| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.2% | 41% | +6.3% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.8% | 71% | +4.2% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.7% | 56% | +6.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 59% | +5.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 28.5% | 28.1% |
| xgboost | 45.4% | 28.9% | 25.7% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 27.8% | 28.2% |
| Truro | Ebbsfleet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1323 | 1272 |
| Surface Elo | 1323 | 1272 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.60 | 2.56 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.60 | 2.89 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 189 | 544 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Slough Town | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Hampton & Richmond Borough | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Sutton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Braintree Town | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Farnham Town | 2 - 2 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Maidstone | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Maidenhead | 4 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Horsham FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Weston-super-Mare | 6 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | AFC Totton | 5 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |