| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 40.5% | 39% | +1.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.0% | 76% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.5% | 55% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 58% | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.6% | 30.3% | 36.1% |
| xgboost | 30.6% | 31.8% | 37.6% |
| logistic | 31.4% | 27.3% | 41.3% |
| Morton | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1596 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1596 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Kelty Hearts | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Partick | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Partick | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Queens Park | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Queens Park | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Berwick Rangers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Stenhousemuir | 2 - 0 | Morton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.71 | 58.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |