| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 86.9% | 87% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.3% | 22.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.9% | 18.0% |
| logistic | 84.7% | 15.3% |
| Daniel Rincon | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1640 | 1402 |
| Surface Elo | 1640 | 1402 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 28 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Michael Mmoh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.15 | 87.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |