| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.1% | 62% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.7% | 47.2% |
| logistic | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Pedro Rodenas | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1431 | 1502 |
| Surface Elo | 1431 | 1502 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Olle Wallin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Nicolas Ifi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Ioannis Xilas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jan | A | Alastair Gray | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Kovac, Tilen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Pavel Lagutin | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |