| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.3% | 40% | +4.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 73.8% | 71% | +2.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.3% | 56% | +5.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 58% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.5% | 33.4% | 43.1% |
| xgboost | 28.6% | 28.9% | 42.6% |
| logistic | 30.7% | 27.2% | 42.2% |
| Morton | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1596 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1596 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.83 | 1.77 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 0.92 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Kelty Hearts | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Partick | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Partick | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Queens Park | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Queens Park | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Berwick Rangers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Stenhousemuir | 2 - 0 | Morton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.65 | 60.6% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.76 | 56.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |