| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.8% | 48% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 77.4% | 74% | +2.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 67.1% | 65% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 62% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 20.9% | 24.9% | 54.2% |
| xgboost | 28.4% | 24.4% | 47.2% |
| logistic | 24.2% | 28.1% | 47.7% |
| Angers | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1562 | 1690 |
| Surface Elo | 1562 | 1690 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Brest | 1 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Brest | 1 - 5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Troyes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Le Havre | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Rennes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Olympiacos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Troyes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Troyes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Rennes | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Angers | 2 - 5 | Marseille |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Marseille | 2 - 2 | Angers |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Angers | 0 - 2 | Marseille |
| 04 Oct 2024 | Marseille | 1 - 1 | Angers |
| 14 May 2023 | Marseille | 3 - 1 | Angers |
| 30 Sep 2022 | Angers | 0 - 3 | Marseille |
| 04 Feb 2022 | Marseille | 5 - 2 | Angers |
| 22 Sep 2021 | Angers | 0 - 0 | Marseille |
| 16 May 2021 | Marseille | 3 - 2 | Angers |
| 23 Dec 2020 | Angers | 2 - 1 | Marseille |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.00 | 25.0% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.38 | 42.0% | 18 Oct 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.04 | 49.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.92 | 25.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.63 | 27.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |