| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.9% | 72% | -2.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.5% | 31.4% |
| logistic | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| Petr Nesterov | Christian Langmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1450 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1450 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 2 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Hernandez, Carles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carles Hernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Dominik Recek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Goncalo Marques | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.39 | 71.9% | 11 Oct 06:15 |