| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.2% | 75% | -15.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.4% | 72.5% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Inaki Montes De La Torre | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1718 | 1692 |
| Surface Elo | 1718 | 1692 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 24 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Jacob Fearnley | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |