| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.8% | 81% | -16.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 18.3% | 81.6% |
| logistic | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | Jay Clarke | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 1 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Sergi Perez Contri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Mattia Nannelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Fabrizio Andaloro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 1 | Jay Clarke |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.85 | 26.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |