OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Montrose 1.40 3 - 0 0.60 Peterhead
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.1%51%-1.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.4%81%-4.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.6%68%-4.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.4%48%+5.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 51.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.8%25.0%26.1%
xgboost46.3%25.5%28.2%
logistic45.5%26.5%28.0%
Inputs the models saw
MontrosePeterhead
Elo (pre-match)14501376
Surface Elo14501376
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.60
Form trend0.70-0.60
Season points per game1.450.91
Season goals for / game1.270.82
Season goals against / game1.821.55
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W0 W · 4 D
Montrose: last 5
17 OctAEast Kilbride1 - 1D
17 OctAEast Kilbride1 - 1D
10 OctHRoss County0 - 5L
10 OctHRoss County0 - 5L
03 OctAAirdrieonians FC0 - 1L
Peterhead: last 5
17 OctHCove Rangers2 - 0W
17 OctHCove Rangers2 - 0W
10 OctHQueen of the South FC0 - 1L
10 OctHQueen of Sth0 - 1L
03 OctAHamilton1 - 2L
Head to head
05 Sep 2026Peterhead0 - 3Montrose
21 Mar 2026Peterhead1 - 1Montrose
10 Feb 2026Montrose1 - 1Peterhead
15 Nov 2025Peterhead1 - 1Montrose
30 Aug 2025Montrose2 - 1Peterhead
15 Apr 2023Montrose2 - 1Peterhead
02 Jan 2023Peterhead0 - 0Montrose
05 Nov 2022Montrose3 - 0Peterhead
03 Sep 2022Peterhead0 - 2Montrose
12 Mar 2022Peterhead0 - 1Montrose
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.0033.3%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.2530.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.1546.5%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8554.0%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.5028.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9651.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7457.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC