| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.9% | 50% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 82% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.5% | 66% | -9.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 68% | -11.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.2% | 22.3% | 50.5% |
| xgboost | 37.3% | 28.3% | 34.4% |
| logistic | 33.8% | 30.2% | 36.0% |
| Bromley | Peterboro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1470 | 1400 |
| Surface Elo | 1470 | 1400 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 0.82 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.90 | 0.91 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 1.82 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Leicester | 0 - 4 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Leicester | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Stockport | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Stockport | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Huddersfield | 1 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Burton | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Leicester | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Stockport | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Doncaster | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.86 | 53.8% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 24 Oct 15:00 |