| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.0% | 56% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.4% | 53.5% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1669 | 1629 |
| Surface Elo | 1669 | 1629 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.18 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Bruno Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |