| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.2% | 51% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.0% | 80% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.1% | 69% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 59% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.3% | 24.9% | 46.8% |
| xgboost | 29.4% | 21.9% | 48.7% |
| logistic | 25.8% | 27.3% | 46.9% |
| East Fife | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1520 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1520 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Clydebank FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Montrose | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Montrose | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Queen of Sth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Ross County | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Stranraer | 3 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Celtic | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Peterhead | 3 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |