| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 85.6% | 89% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 86.6% | 13.3% |
| logistic | 78.5% | 21.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Tristan Boyer | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1656 | 1555 |
| Surface Elo | 1656 | 1555 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Johan Nikles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.12 | 89.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |