| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.3% | 36% | +8.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 78% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.4% | 48% | +6.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 44% | +11.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.8% | 26.7% | 33.5% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 28.3% | 41.3% |
| logistic | 37.1% | 28.5% | 34.4% |
| Barnsley | Cambridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Stockport | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Stockport | 1 - 3 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Leeds | 3 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Leicester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Northampton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | Cambridge |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | Barnsley |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Barnsley | 0 - 2 | Cambridge |
| 03 Oct 2023 | Cambridge | 0 - 4 | Barnsley |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Barnsley | 2 - 0 | Cambridge |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Cambridge | 0 - 3 | Barnsley |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |