| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.2% | 33% | +20.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 78.4% | 76% | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.5% | 47% | +23.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% | 45% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.1% | 24.2% | 21.6% |
| xgboost | 52.5% | 18.6% | 28.9% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 24.8% | 23.8% |
| Quevilly Rouen | Amiens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1281 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1281 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 861 | 139 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Caen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | SC Aubagne Air Bel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | FC Versailles 78 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 May | H | St Etienne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 May | A | Valenciennes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 May | A | St Etienne | 0 - 5 | L |
| 02 May | H | Red Star | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Apr | H | Montpellier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Apr | A | Rodez | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Apr | H | Pau FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 Apr 2024 | Quevilly Rouen | 3 - 3 | Amiens |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Amiens | 1 - 0 | Quevilly Rouen |
| 26 May 2023 | Quevilly Rouen | 1 - 3 | Amiens |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Amiens | 0 - 2 | Quevilly Rouen |
| 26 Jan 2022 | Quevilly Rouen | 1 - 1 | Amiens |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Amiens | 1 - 3 | Quevilly Rouen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.65 | 60.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |