| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.4% | 62% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.9% | 39.0% |
| logistic | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Santiago De La Fuente | Ignacio Monzon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1361 | 1425 |
| Surface Elo | 1361 | 1425 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Boris Arias | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Matias Soto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Tomas Martinez | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |