| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.8% | 36% | +39.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 93.3% | 62% | +30.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 92.0% | 48% | +44.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 65% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 86.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| xgboost | 72.0% | 17.5% | 10.5% |
| logistic | 84.2% | 12.4% | 3.4% |
| PSV Eindhoven | Volendam | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1810 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1810 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 163 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Feyenoord | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Feyenoord | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Porto | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | FC Dordrecht | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Den Haag | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Utrecht | 6 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Waalwijk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Rohda Raalte | 8 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Vitesse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Volendam | 2 - 1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 30 Nov 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 0 | Volendam |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Volendam | 1 - 5 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 30 Sep 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 1 | Volendam |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Volendam | 2 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 31 Aug 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 7 - 1 | Volendam |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |