OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 08 November 2026, 12:30 UTC · finished
Magdeburg 1.60 4 - 1 1.20 St Pauli
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 42.9%43%+0.4%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.3%78%-4.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 57.0%58%-0.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.2%61%-6.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson42.1%25.5%32.3%
xgboost41.6%26.0%32.4%
logistic39.8%27.8%32.3%
Inputs the models saw
MagdeburgSt Pauli
Elo (pre-match)14591463
Surface Elo14591463
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.20
Form trend0.000.40
Season points per game1.701.20
Season goals for / game2.101.20
Season goals against / game1.301.20
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W4 W · 1 D
Magdeburg: last 5
31 OctADarmstadt1 - 1D
31 OctADarmstadt1 - 1D
28 OctABayern München1 - 6L
24 OctHKarlsruhe6 - 1W
24 OctHKarlsruher SC6 - 1W
St Pauli: last 5
01 NovH1 FC Nuremberg1 - 3L
01 NovHNurnberg1 - 3L
23 OctADarmstadt0 - 0D
23 OctADarmstadt0 - 0D
17 OctAHannover1 - 1D
Head to head
10 Feb 2024Magdeburg1 - 0St Pauli
27 Aug 2023St Pauli0 - 0Magdeburg
18 Feb 2023Magdeburg1 - 2St Pauli
14 Aug 2022St Pauli3 - 0Magdeburg
22 Dec 2018St Pauli4 - 1Magdeburg
05 Aug 2018Magdeburg1 - 2St Pauli
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4540.8%08 Nov 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%08 Nov 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.6338.0%08 Nov 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%08 Nov 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%08 Nov 12:30
SportyBet1X2away2.8035.7%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6361.4%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC