| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.3% | 49% | +1.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| logistic | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Max Wiskandt | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1444 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1444 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 113 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Jun | A | Diego Dedura | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Apr | H | Sergey Fomin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Wiskandt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | De Marchi, Andrea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Comino, Lorenzo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Battiston, A | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Andrey Chepelev | 0 - 2 | Max Wiskandt |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.99 | 50.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |