| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.4% | 93% | -20.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.5% | 80.4% |
| logistic | 38.1% | 61.9% |
| Manish Sureshkumar | Samir Banerjee | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1414 | 1530 |
| Surface Elo | 1414 | 1530 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 148 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 May | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 May | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Alastair Gray | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 May | H | Ronit Karki | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Eero Vasa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Minasyan, Michael | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Adrian Boitan | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.08 | 92.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.50 | 15.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |