| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.2% | 29% | +18.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 80% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.1% | 39% | +20.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 44% | +6.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.2% | 26.0% | 21.8% |
| xgboost | 28.7% | 33.8% | 37.5% |
| logistic | 28.8% | 21.4% | 49.8% |
| Wurzburger Kickers | Hansa Rostock | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1364 | 1334 |
| Surface Elo | 1364 | 1334 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1965 | 873 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Heidenheim | 1 - 3 | L |
| 23 May | H | Paderborn | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 May | A | Braunschweig | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 May | H | Osnabruck | 1 - 3 | L |
| 23 Apr | A | Karlsruhe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 May | H | Paderborn | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Schalke 04 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Karlsruhe | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Apr | A | St Pauli | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |