OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC · scheduled
Norwich 0.60 12:30 0.60 Watford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.1%65%-8.4%
DCHome or draw 81.8%86%-4.5%
DNBHome (DNB) 74.7%82%-6.9%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.4%64%-5.3%
BTTSBTTS yes 56.3%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson53.6%24.3%22.1%
xgboost58.8%24.3%16.9%
logistic57.9%24.2%18.0%
Inputs the models saw
NorwichWatford
Elo (pre-match)15221435
Surface Elo15221435
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend-0.60-0.30
Season points per game0.600.75
Season goals for / game1.400.75
Season goals against / game1.802.50
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W6 W · 0 D
Norwich: last 5
24 OctACharlton3 - 1W
24 OctACharlton3 - 1W
21 OctHBristol City1 - 1D
17 OctHPortsmouth0 - 1L
17 OctHPortsmouth0 - 1L
Watford: last 5
27 OctAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 3L
24 OctAWolverhampton Wanderers0 - 1L
24 OctAWolverhampton Wanderers0 - 1L
20 OctHWycombe2 - 1W
17 OctHCharlton2 - 0W
Head to head
29 Dec 2025Norwich0 - 1Watford
06 Dec 2025Watford3 - 2Norwich
01 Feb 2025Watford0 - 1Norwich
21 Sep 2024Norwich4 - 1Watford
13 Feb 2024Norwich4 - 2Watford
28 Nov 2023Watford3 - 2Norwich
02 Jan 2023Norwich0 - 1Watford
15 Oct 2022Watford2 - 1Norwich
21 Jan 2022Watford0 - 3Norwich
18 Sep 2021Norwich1 - 3Watford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.7217.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.6621.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5664.1%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5863.3%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4540.8%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 13:58 UTC