| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.1% | 56% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| logistic | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Learner Tien | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1929 | 2045 |
| Surface Elo | 1929 | 2045 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Luca Van Assche | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Casper Ruud | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Casper Ruud | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Tomas Machac | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.79 | 55.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |