| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.5% | 75% | -15.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.6% | 30.3% |
| logistic | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Sergi Perez Contri | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1475 | 1463 |
| Surface Elo | 1475 | 1463 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Nicolas Barrientos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | A | Jurij Rodionov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Mattia Nannelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Zdenek Kolar | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 19 Oct 06:15 |