OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-09
🎾 ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles · Friday 09 October 2026, 10:00 UTC · finished
Novak Djokovic 3.00 0 - 2 2.40 Hubert Hurkacz
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 62.5%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov52.0%48.0%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost66.9%33.1%
logistic70.3%29.7%
Inputs the models saw
Novak DjokovicHubert Hurkacz
Elo (pre-match)21431977
Surface Elo21431977
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.002.40
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game3.002.40
Season goals for / game1.801.60
Season goals against / game0.400.70
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)8 W0 W · 0 D
Novak Djokovic: last 5
09 OctAHubert Hurkacz0 - 2L
06 OctHAlex De Minaur1 - 0W
06 OctAAlex De Minaur1 - 0W
05 OctHDaniil Medvedev2 - 0W
04 OctAAlexander Zverev2 - 1W
Hubert Hurkacz: last 5
09 OctHNovak Djokovic2 - 0W
08 OctHJames Duckworth2 - 0W
08 OctHJames Duckworth2 - 0W
05 OctAAlex De Minaur0 - 1L
05 OctAAlex De Minaur0 - 1L
Head to head
09 Oct 2026Hubert Hurkacz2 - 0Novak Djokovic
19 May 2025Hubert Hurkacz1 - 2Novak Djokovic
13 Nov 2023Hubert Hurkacz1 - 2Novak Djokovic
03 Jul 2023Hubert Hurkacz1 - 3Novak Djokovic
27 Feb 2023Hubert Hurkacz0 - 2Novak Djokovic
02 May 2022Hubert Hurkacz0 - 2Novak Djokovic
01 Nov 2021Hubert Hurkacz1 - 2Novak Djokovic
01 Jul 2019Hubert Hurkacz1 - 3Novak Djokovic
27 May 2019Hubert Hurkacz0 - 3Novak Djokovic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 20:31 UTC