| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 43% | +10.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 37.5% |
| logistic | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 38 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Mmoh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Bryce Nakashima Nakashima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | Federico Agustin Gomez |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 0 | Federico Agustin Gomez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 17 Sep 06:15 |