| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 58% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.0% |
| logistic | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Emiliana Arango | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 6 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Ayla Aksu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Xinyu Wang | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Venus Williams | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Maria Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Akli, Ayana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Katherine Sebov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Lisa Pigato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Mia Pohankova | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |