| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.1% | 58% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 83% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.8% | 76% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.5% | 62% | +9.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.0% | 25.3% | 40.7% |
| xgboost | 28.0% | 20.2% | 51.8% |
| logistic | 23.5% | 26.8% | 49.6% |
| Gateshead | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1332 | 1485 |
| Surface Elo | 1332 | 1485 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 5.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Fylde | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Fylde | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Altrincham | 3 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 03 Sep 2025 | Gateshead | 0 - 2 | Altrincham |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Gateshead | 0 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Altrincham | 2 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Altrincham | 2 - 3 | Gateshead |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Gateshead | 0 - 2 | Altrincham |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 04 Oct 2022 | Gateshead | 1 - 3 | Altrincham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.25 | 23.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 29 Sep 06:15 |