| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.5% | 53% | +6.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.1% | 42.8% |
| logistic | 34.3% | 65.7% |
| Sebastian Gorzny | Alex Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1656 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1656 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 16 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Alastair Gray | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | A | Alafia Ayeni | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Hiroki Moriya | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Semen Pankin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Lloyd Harris | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |