| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.0% | 54% | +1.2% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.0% | 80% | -0.5% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.2% | 72% | +0.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 57% | -2.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.1% | 25.4% | 29.5% |
| xgboost | 61.5% | 21.2% | 17.3% |
| logistic | 59.0% | 24.4% | 16.7% |
| Mansfield | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1477 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1477 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackpool | 4 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackpool | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Stockport | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Stockport | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Sheffield Weds | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Sheffield Weds | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Wycombe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Mansfield | 1 - 0 | Notts County |
| 14 Oct 2023 | Notts County | 1 - 4 | Mansfield |
| 16 Feb 2019 | Notts County | 1 - 0 | Mansfield |
| 08 Dec 2018 | Mansfield | 2 - 0 | Notts County |
| 17 Mar 2018 | Notts County | 1 - 1 | Mansfield |
| 30 Sep 2017 | Mansfield | 3 - 1 | Notts County |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |