| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.0% | 48% | +7.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 59.0% | 40.9% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Darwin Blanch | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1714 | 1628 |
| Surface Elo | 1714 | 1628 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | Dylan Dietrich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |