OgaOods

form, quantified 路 picks with an edge
Back to 馃幘 Tennis on 2026-10-11
馃幘 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters 路 Sunday 11 October 2026, 11:10 UTC 路 scheduled
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2.40 11:10 1.80 Frances Tiafoe
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 51.5%52%-0.5%
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost49.9%50.0%
logistic48.5%51.5%
markovabstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)
Inputs the models saw
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaFrances Tiafoe
Elo (pre-match)19932034
Surface Elo19932034
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.80
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W3 W 路 0 D
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5
11 OctHFrances Tiafoe2 - 1W
09 OctHJenson Brooksby2 - 0W
09 OctHJenson Brooksby2 - 0W
01 OctHMatteo Berrettini1 - 2L
01 OctHMatteo Berrettini1 - 2L
Frances Tiafoe: last 5
11 OctAAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2L
09 OctAYannick Hanfmann2 - 0W
09 OctHPaterne Mamata2 - 0W
02 OctAArthur Fils0 - 2L
02 OctAArthur Fils0 - 2L
Head to head
11 Oct 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 1Frances Tiafoe
17 Mar 2025Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 2Frances Tiafoe
24 Feb 2025Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 1Frances Tiafoe
12 Aug 2024Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 2Frances Tiafoe
25 Apr 2022Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2Frances Tiafoe
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
1xBeth2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9451.5%11 Oct 06:01
1xBeth2hFrances Tiafoe1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
888sporth2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
888sporth2hFrances Tiafoe1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
BetAnythingh2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
BetAnythingh2hFrances Tiafoe1.8354.6%11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharph2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina2.0249.5%11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharph2hFrances Tiafoe1.9850.5%11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharph2h_layAlejandro Davidovich Fokina2.0449.0%11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharph2h_layFrances Tiafoe1.9950.2%11 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.agh2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.agh2hFrances Tiafoe1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
Betssonh2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
Betssonh2hFrances Tiafoe1.9052.6%11 Oct 06:01
Coolbeth2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
Coolbeth2hFrances Tiafoe1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
GTbetsh2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9351.8%11 Oct 06:01
GTbetsh2hFrances Tiafoe1.8853.2%11 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)h2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9351.8%11 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)h2hFrances Tiafoe1.8554.0%11 Oct 06:01
Matchbookh2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina2.0249.5%11 Oct 06:01
Matchbookh2hFrances Tiafoe1.9850.5%11 Oct 06:01
Matchbookh2h_layAlejandro Davidovich Fokina2.0449.0%11 Oct 06:01
Matchbookh2h_layFrances Tiafoe1.9950.2%11 Oct 06:01
Nordic Beth2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
Nordic Beth2hFrances Tiafoe1.9052.6%11 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharph2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9551.3%11 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharph2hFrances Tiafoe1.9551.3%11 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)h2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.8554.0%11 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)h2hFrances Tiafoe1.7955.9%11 Oct 06:01
SportyBet1X2away1.9252.1%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9351.8%11 Oct 06:15
Tipicoh2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9052.6%11 Oct 06:01
Tipicoh2hFrances Tiafoe1.8055.6%11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)h2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.8753.5%11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)h2hFrances Tiafoe1.8653.8%11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)h2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9351.8%11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)h2hFrances Tiafoe1.8554.0%11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)h2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9351.8%11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)h2hFrances Tiafoe1.8554.0%11 Oct 06:01
William Hillh2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
William Hillh2hFrances Tiafoe1.9152.4%11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)h2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9451.5%11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)h2hFrances Tiafoe1.9252.1%11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)h2hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1.9052.6%11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)h2hFrances Tiafoe1.8853.2%11 Oct 06:01
Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC