| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 81.2% | 88% | -7.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.2% | 61.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 13.6% | 86.3% |
| logistic | 21.3% | 78.7% |
| Alan Magadan | Oriol Roca Batalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1609 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1609 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.93 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.11 | 0.79 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Nicolas Barrientos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Emilio Camacho | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Juan Ignacio Gallego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.13 | 88.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.40 | 18.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |