| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.7% | 65% | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| logistic | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Anhelina Kalinina | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1505 | 1664 |
| Surface Elo | 1505 | 1664 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 12 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Janice Tjen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Janice Tjen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Himeno Sakatsume | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Emma Navarro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Maja Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | 0 - 2 | Sonay Kartal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |