| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.8% | 65% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.0% | 40.9% |
| logistic | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Mary Stoiana | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1381 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1381 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Katerina Siniakova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Moyuka Uchijima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Julieta Pareja | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Ena Shibahara | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Mary Stoiana | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Ena Shibahara | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Zhuoxuan Bai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Lanlana Tararudee | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Mary Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Moyuka Uchijima |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |