| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.1% | 66% | -7.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.6% | 70.4% |
| logistic | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Filip Peliwo | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1394 | 1419 |
| Surface Elo | 1394 | 1419 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 25 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Yaroslav Demin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tai Sach | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Nicola Rispoli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Nika Bidzinashvili | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |