| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.5% | 43% | +10.0% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.5% | 67% | +9.6% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.5% | 55% | +12.7% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 69% | -12.8% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.6% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.8% | 25.0% | 29.2% |
| xgboost | 45.4% | 28.4% | 26.2% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| Cardiff | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Charlton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Charlton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Bolton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Sep | H | Stoke | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Portsmouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Stevenage | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Fulham | 6 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Stockport | 4 - 3 | W |
| 29 Dec 2023 | Cardiff | 0 - 2 | Leicester |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Leicester | 2 - 1 | Cardiff |
| 29 Dec 2018 | Leicester | 0 - 1 | Cardiff |
| 03 Nov 2018 | Cardiff | 0 - 1 | Leicester |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.45 | 69.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |