| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.6% | 24% | +24.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 84% | -8.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.2% | 31% | +30.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.9% | 64% | +10.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 66.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.9% | 31.1% | 29.0% |
| xgboost | 40.6% | 20.6% | 38.8% |
| logistic | 39.2% | 27.2% | 33.6% |
| Braintree Town | Truro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1301 | 1323 |
| Surface Elo | 1301 | 1323 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 168 | 168 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Walton and Hersham FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | AFC Rushden And Diamonds | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Dorking | 3 - 4 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Tamworth | 1 - 5 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Farnham Town | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Maidstone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Merthyr Town | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Merthyr Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Apr | A | Aldershot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Truro | 2 - 3 | Braintree Town |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Braintree Town | 2 - 0 | Truro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |