| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.8% | 99% | -42.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| logistic | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Yshai Oliel | Courtney John Lock | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1398 | 1380 |
| Surface Elo | 1398 | 1380 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 757 | 148 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Sep | A | Arthur Reymond | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Aug | A | Ergi Kirkin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Aug | A | Mohamed Safwat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Jul | A | Antoine Ghibaudo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Iiro Vasa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Nov | H | Goncalo Oliveira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Matteo Covato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Aug | H | Norbert Gombos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Mar | H | Florent Bax | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.01 | 99.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |