OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-25

NFL · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Carolina Panthers – 13 - 43 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	63.2%	60%	+3.7%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	63.2%	36.8%

Inputs the models saw

	Carolina Panthers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.08
form diff	0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.19
opponent strength diff	0.09
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-24T17:00:00+00:00

Carolina Panthers: last 5

18 Oct	A	Philadelphia Eagles	25 - 14	W
05 Oct	H	Detroit Lions	32 - 26	W
27 Sep	A	Cleveland Browns	18 - 21	L
20 Sep	A	Atlanta Falcons	34 - 3	W
13 Sep	H	Chicago Bears	37 - 59	L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: last 5

18 Oct	H	Pittsburgh Steelers	19 - 26	L
09 Oct	A	Dallas Cowboys	24 - 16	W
04 Oct	H	Green Bay Packers	14 - 17	L
27 Sep	H	Minnesota Vikings	16 - 23	L
20 Sep	H	Cleveland Browns	19 - 23	L

Head to head

03 Jan 2026	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16 - 14	Carolina Panthers
21 Dec 2025	Carolina Panthers	23 - 20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29 Dec 2024	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48 - 14	Carolina Panthers
01 Dec 2024	Carolina Panthers	23 - 26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
07 Jan 2024	Carolina Panthers	0 - 9	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
03 Dec 2023	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21 - 18	Carolina Panthers
01 Jan 2023	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	30 - 24	Carolina Panthers
23 Oct 2022	Carolina Panthers	21 - 3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
09 Jan 2022	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	41 - 17	Carolina Panthers
26 Dec 2021	Carolina Panthers	6 - 32	Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.67	59.9%	25 Oct 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.35	42.6%	25 Oct 14:20

Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC