| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.7% | 60% | +13.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 72.1% | 27.9% |
| logistic | 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1646 | 1516 |
| Surface Elo | 1646 | 1516 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Laurent Lokoli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Tommaso Compagnucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Daniel Michalski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 1 | Pol Martin Tiffon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 29 Sep 06:15 |