| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.9% | 93% | -21.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 8.3% | 91.7% |
| logistic | 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Jose Pereira | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1472 | 1638 |
| Surface Elo | 1472 | 1638 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 1 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Mateus Alves | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Lautaro Midon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Mateus Alves | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Nicolas Jarry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jose Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Jose Pereira | 0 - 2 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida |
| 25 Sep 2023 | Jose Pereira | 0 - 2 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.08 | 92.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.90 | 14.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |