OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-28

🎾 tennis_atp_swiss_indoors · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · scheduled

Taylor Fritz 1.20 17:00 0.60 Rinky Hijikata

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	77.7%	90%	-12.4%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	92.4%	7.6%
logistic	75.5%	24.5%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Taylor Fritz	Rinky Hijikata
Elo (pre-match)	1974	1715
Surface Elo	1974	1715
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	0.60
Form trend	0.90	-0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	3
Head-to-head (last 10)	1 W	0 W · 0 D

Taylor Fritz: last 5

26 Oct	H	Stefanos Tsitsipas	1 - 2	L
25 Oct	A	Lorenzo Musetti	0 - 2	L
25 Oct	A	Lorenzo Musetti	0 - 2	L
24 Oct	A	Tommy Paul	1 - 0	W
24 Oct	H	Tommy Paul	2 - 0	W

Rinky Hijikata: last 5

25 Oct	H	Yannick Hanfmann	1 - 2	L
24 Oct	A	Miomir Kecmanovic	2 - 0	W
20 Oct	A	Terence Atmane	0 - 2	L
20 Oct	H	Terence Atmane	0 - 2	L
07 Oct	H	Roman Safiullin	0 - 2	L

Head to head

12 Feb 2024

Rinky Hijikata

0 - 2

Taylor Fritz

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.49	15.4%	28 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.13	88.5%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.00	16.7%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.12	89.3%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.20	16.1%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.12	89.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.20	16.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.10	90.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	7.20	13.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.15	87.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Rinky Hijikata	7.40	13.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Taylor Fritz	1.17	85.5%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	5.96	16.8%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.14	87.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.40	15.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.10	90.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.40	15.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.12	89.3%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.50	15.4%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.11	90.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.25	16.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.12	89.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	7.20	13.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.15	87.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Rinky Hijikata	7.60	13.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Taylor Fritz	1.17	85.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.40	15.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.10	90.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.48	15.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.13	88.5%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.00	16.7%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.07	93.5%	28 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	7.00	14.3%	28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.11	90.1%	28 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.50	15.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.08	92.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	5.40	18.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.08	92.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.50	15.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.11	90.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.50	15.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.11	90.1%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.00	16.7%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.12	89.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	7.25	13.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.12	89.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	6.00	16.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Taylor Fritz	1.09	91.7%	28 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:00 UTC