| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.1% | 30% | +21.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 49.0% | 50.9% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1559 | 1531 |
| Surface Elo | 1559 | 1531 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 63 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Enrico Dalla Valle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Jamie Mackenzie | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Luca Staeheli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | H | Daniel Rincon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Zsombor Piros | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 1 - 2 | Enrico Dalla Valle |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.31 | 76.3% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 28 Sep 06:15 |