| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 75.6% | 89% | -13.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| logistic | 19.9% | 80.1% |
| Alexandre Aubriot | Robin Bertrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1436 | 1560 |
| Surface Elo | 1436 | 1560 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 0.56 |
| Rest days | 3 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Lorenzo Angelini | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Adrian Constantin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Miles Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Etienne Donnet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Pavlos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Jakub Filip | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Liam Gavrielides | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Maxence Rivet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Hernandez, Carles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Arce Fernandez, Mario | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.12 | 89.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |