| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 75.7% | 80% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.2% | 79.8% |
| logistic | 35.2% | 64.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Nikita Mashtakov | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1567 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1567 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Schinas, Stephanos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Benjamin Pietri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Ravasio, Gilberto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Jiri Cizek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Ryotaro Taguchi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Andrea Colombo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.65 | 27.4% | 09 Nov 06:15 |