| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.6% | 72% | -7.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 36.2% | 63.7% |
| logistic | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Matthew William Donald | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1664 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1664 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Marco Furlanetto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Olle Wallin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Michele Mecarelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |